D'Angelo Russell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2023

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
D'Angelo Russell has made 5.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
D'Angelo Russell has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year.

Favors Under

When playing away from home, the Suns have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Suns may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted just 25.7 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the league).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year with the home court advantage (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting PGs have put up the 7th-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (32.2%).

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