D'Angelo Russell Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has posted 5.6 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.
D'Angelo Russell stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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