D'Angelo Russell Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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D'Angelo Russell

NBA · Player Props

D'Angelo Russell

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

D'Angelo Russell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Angelo Russell has totaled 6.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 97th percentile.
D'Angelo Russell has tallied 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 9.0 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added opportunities for offense).
D'Angelo Russell will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

D'Angelo Russell has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.1 technicals per game last year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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