Damian Lillard Steals - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Steals

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 23, 2025 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has posted 1.5 steals per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 95th percentile.
Damian Lillard has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Damian Lillard will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).