Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 28, 2025 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 36.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Pacers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Damian Lillard will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has totaled 0.3 offensive boards per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 21st percentile -- one of the worst in the NBA by this metric.
Damian Lillard has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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