Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 20, 2025 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 5.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.5 minutes per game this year.
The 4th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
Damian Lillard stands to get a boost in output for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.