Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 14, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has put up 3.8 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the league by this metric over this stretch: 77th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 36.4 minutes per game this year.
The 6th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Damian Lillard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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