Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 6.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.9 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have snagged 8.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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