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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/15/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 3.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 77th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard ought to suffer a reduction in output for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

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