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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
  • The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.
  • This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).
  • Damian Lillard will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).
  • The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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