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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has compiled 4.3 rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 75th percentile.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
  • Damian Lillard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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