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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 4.2 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's best in this category in recent games: 81st percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 35.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
  • Damian Lillard has been called for a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 0.1 technicals per game last year.
  • The Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • When playing away from home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
  • The Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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