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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has totaled 3.9 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 77th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.2 minutes per game away from home this year.

Damian Lillard has been called for a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.

The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Heat have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Damian Lillard will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this contest.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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