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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has compiled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (24th percentile).
  • The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.
  • The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance across the board.

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