Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has put up 4.1 defensive rebounds per game away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
Damian Lillard has played 36.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (99th percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
With the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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