Damian Lillard Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Raptors have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year while at home (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has been called for 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 13 games on the road, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance across the board.

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