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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has posted 24.7 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 97th percentile.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 9.0 per game this year.
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • As it relates to offense, the Bucks's impressive 128.6 points per game at home measures as the best in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league as the home team this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
  • The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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