Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 25, 2025

Updated Apr 25, 2025 11:23 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has posted 24.7 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 97th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 9.0 per game this year.
Damian Lillard has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
As it relates to offense, the Bucks's impressive 128.6 points per game at home measures as the best in the league over the last 5 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league as the home team this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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