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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/22/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 9.1 per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 36.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
  • Damian Lillard has successfully made 6.2 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Pacers, creating a difficult matchup.
  • The Bucks have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Damian Lillard should suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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