Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 22, 2025 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 9.1 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 36.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Damian Lillard has successfully made 6.2 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Pacers, creating a difficult matchup.
The Bucks have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Damian Lillard should suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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