Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to threes, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 38.5% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Los Angeles Lakers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.6).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Lakers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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