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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 97th percentile, logging an enormous 25.3 points per game this year.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 10.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game this year.
  • The Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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