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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 19.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • Damian Lillard has attempted 11.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 36.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Denver is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
  • The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 8th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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