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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has compiled 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's compiled overall this year.

Damian Lillard has attempted 10.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Damian Lillard has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

With respect to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 123.2 points per game while on their home court places 5th-best in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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