Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard ranks in the 97th percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 8.9 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 36.2 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Bucks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard places in the 99th percentile for free throws converted, registering an enormous 6.2 per game this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Hornets is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.3).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Hornets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Damian Lillard stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.