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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has made 62.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 21.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year playing at home.

Damian Lillard has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 125.2 points per game with the home court advantage rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have notched 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Heat, creating a positive matchup for offensive performance.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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