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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/23/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 8.9 per game this year.

Damian Lillard has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

Damian Lillard should get a boost in output in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 36.0% rate, Damian Lillard's 3-point efficiency has tailed off this season to 26.4%.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 11.3 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, resulting in a hard matchup.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Hornets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the league).

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