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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/2/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 99th percentile for three-point attempts, logging 8.7 per game since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.6 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season.

When it comes to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 118.0 points per game places 5th-most in the league since the start of last season.

This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 24th-most offensive boards per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 6 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

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