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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 10/28/2024

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown away from his home court, totaling 8.6 per game since the start of last season.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Bucks check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road since the start of last season.
  • The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
  • The 8th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Bucks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league while playing on the road with just 8.8 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
  • The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).
  • Damian Lillard will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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