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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

When it comes to offense, the Bucks's excellent 120.0 points per game settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year.

The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Raptors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Damian Lillard will likely see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's 3-point attempts have tailed off this year to 8.6 per game.

Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (23.6%).

The Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has sunk a measly 6.3 free throws per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.8 mark last year.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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