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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Damian Lillard has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.

As it relates to scoring, the Bucks's outstanding 120.6 points per game places 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5).

The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 8.7 treys per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 11.3 rate last year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 9.6 clip, Damian Lillard's number of foul shots has decreased this season to 6.9 foul shots per game.

Damian Lillard should see a decline in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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