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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/26/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Bucks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The matchup against Los Angeles may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team (4th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has logged a lowly 24.4 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 32.2 points per game last year.

Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.6 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 11.3 rate last year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Los Angeles Lakers are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last season's 9.6 mark, Damian Lillard's number of free throws has diminished this season to 6.9 free throws per game.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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