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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 2/15/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year.

In regard to shooting, the Bucks's outstanding 120.9 points per game on the road rates best in the league this year.

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 22.8 points per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has posted just 24.6 points per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.2 points per game last season.

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 8.4 three-pointers per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 11.3 mark last season.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 7.6 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 9.6 mark last season.

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