My Account Log Out

reorder

Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making this a good matchup.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 32.2 rate, Damian Lillard's points per game have been reduced this season to 25.7.

Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.8 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.3 rate last season.

The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

While at home, the Cavaliers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™