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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile.
  • The Bucks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard registers in the 99th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, compiling a colossal 9.0 foul shots per game away from his home court this year.
  • Damian Lillard will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has registered a measly 25.2 points per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.2 points per game last season.
  • Damian Lillard has converted just 2.8 three-pointers per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.2 rate last year.
  • Since the start of last season when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 16.3 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
  • The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
  • The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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