Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has played 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Bucks's exceptional 120.5 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the league this year.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).
Damian Lillard has attempted 9.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has averaged a measly 24.8 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 32.2 points per game last year.
Damian Lillard has made a lowly 2.9 three-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 4.2 mark last year.
The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a tough one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (24.5%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).