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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.2).

The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has logged a mere 24.6 points per game this season, significantly lower than his 32.2 points per game last season.

In comparison to last season's 11.3 mark, Damian Lillard's three-point attempts have been reduced this season to 8.7 per game.

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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