Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 5:02 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team since the start of last season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Magic have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 7.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has totaled the 10th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (35.8).
The Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted 25.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.