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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Portland Trail Blazers

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (20.0).

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.6 free throws per game this year when the Pelicans have the home court advantage (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Trail Blazers.

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