Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 7:17 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Wizards.
The matchup against the Pistons is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.5 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Detroit is a challenging one; when the Pistons are on their home court, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (15.4).
With the home court advantage, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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