Damian Lillard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has attempted 11.1 three-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.8 rate last season.
Damian Lillard has converted a whopping 4.1 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last season.
Damian Lillard has attempted 11.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a hard one for field goals; opposing clubs have shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (49.0%).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should decrease opportunities for the Raptors.
The matchup against the Raptors is a hard one; when playing on the road they have allowed the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (17.1).

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