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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has posted 38.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's posted over the course of the season.
  • Damian Lillard has successfully made a whopping 3.9 treys per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 mark last season.
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 13 games away from his home court, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year away from their home court.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year.
  • Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production for all stats.

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