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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard places in the 80th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a stellar 37.4% rate this year.

Damian Lillard has attempted 10.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Damian Lillard has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Bucks have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with respect to three-point attempts.

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 8.8 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a good matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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