Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 11:24 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has successfully made 5.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from three overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Bucks have been the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most treys per game in the league this year (3.0).

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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