Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 26, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has attempted 7.7 treys per game on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Damian Lillard has tallied 35.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
With respect to shots from downtown, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 42.6% rate of drained threes places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have tallied 8.8 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has converted 24.1% of his 3-point attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile among all players in the league.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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