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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/6/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-224/+159).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -224.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.0 minutes per game this year.

In terms of 3-point shots, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 37.7% rate of sunk threes rates 6th-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have shot for the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (38.4%).

The 5th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 11.3 mark, Damian Lillard's 3-point attempts have regressed this season to 8.5 per game.

Damian Lillard has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with just 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have captured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (continuing possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).

Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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