Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has played 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
In comparison to last year's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have declined this year to 0.0 per game.
The Bucks rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 40.4% on threes (26th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, labeling this as a good matchup.
The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 11.3 mark, Damian Lillard's 3-point attempts have been reduced this year to 8.7 per game.
The Bucks rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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