Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 6:07 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has sunk 47.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 8.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
Damian Lillard has tallied a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 8.7 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.3 mark last season.
This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.8 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, labeling this as a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Damian Lillard is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.