Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has attempted 11.2 3-pointers per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Damian Lillard has made a whopping 3.9 threes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 3.2 mark last season.
Damian Lillard has averaged 34.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year on their home court when it comes to threes.
Without the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has been called for 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team have compiled the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.8%).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Cavaliers.

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