Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 25, 2025

Updated Apr 25, 2025 8:09 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has totaled 7.2 assists per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
Damian Lillard has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league as the home team this year.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Damian Lillard will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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