Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 22, 2025 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has tallied 6.9 assists per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 36.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Damian Lillard should suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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