Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 2, 2025

Updated Feb 2, 2025 10:28 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 8.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Damian Lillard should see a rise in performance across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).